Horse Racing Lines
Thoughts that can help you handicap the Kentucky Derby, a very big challenge in horse racing
2021-04-07
There are some thoughts and tips that you need to approach every year in the Kentucky derby as a bettor. Handicapping is very challenging. It gets tricky when you place 20 three year olds together on a racing track to compete against one another which is what happens in the Kentucky Derby. Despite the fact that horses already pose tricky situations for handicapping methods, owners, trainers and jockeys can also present such a puzzle in the field. Many trainers place their horses in other challenging stakes in order for them to qualify for the Derby.
Horses that look unbeatable when they are two years old prove otherwise when they become three year olds. This just proves that horses develop at different rates. There are many occasions where a horse injures itself just days or weeks before the Kentucky derby. You will become very disappointed if you hold back your horse thinking it can become a winner in the derby and let prestigious wins go by. It can also be such a huge financial loss for you. The problem therefore lies with the horse owner and the trainer, whether to hold the horse back till the derby day or let it go out and run.
When it comes to handicapping, the problem becomes figuring out where the trainers went. There are the ones that win big two year olds races and three year old races before the derby which are obvious. The ones that hold a horse back and are bringing it out slowly may not be that obvious.
This is the reason there are long shot winners big time. Ensure you consider any horse in the derby as a potential winner, especially in cases where it shows signs of improving speed figures. Do not focus too much on the horse that won in the past or if it was beaten in the past. Focus on what is happening now. You never know whether the trainer of that specific horse that was beaten held his horse back and you never know the maturity rate of that horse.
Dosage is a reliable factor when it comes to handicapping races. Eliminate some horses with the dosage figures but never get carried away. Many front runners that do not seem to rate off their paces a bit have several histories of almost winning the Kentucky derby but never make it along the way. Also, remember to never throw a horse based on their jockey or trainer.
Kentucky Derby- Advance Betting in the Kentucky Derby
2021-04-07
The Kentucky derby has the Play Bingo Online Free most informative advance bets that can ever be made in any kind of sport. This is because the Kentucky derby horses are under high scrutiny concerning any information that the public is given. There are guidelines to follow either way if you want to make the most use of the money you are wagering for. Do not believe in any hype to begin with. Most horses get a lot of press attention during their two year term in the Kentucky derby but during their third year, they totally disappoint you. For instance in early 2011, a horse known as Tapizar received so much press while during its third year it became fifth position. According to the press releases, the other inferior horse that it lost to was never even commonly known to people.
Another rule to remember is not to pay attention to any early speed figures in this career rather focus on the ease in which one can be able to pick up a win. During the 2010 Kentucky derby for instance, the winner picked his first stake win after three years in the career with a speed of 83 which is not close to the Triple Crown of course. Therefore many people tend to focus on the speed figure which brought him to victory rather than how he did it. Rankings of the pre-derby are very important. However, the most important thing is the realization that a new three year old horse is still not fully matured. A horse reaches its racing maturity when it becomes five years in the season. Another thing to note is that one bad race for a horse does not mean that its Triple Crown’s bid has to come to a halt. There are usually reasons why potential horses do not win races and it is up to handicapper to know what these reasons are.
Workouts are mostly over looked when it comes to the development of a three year old. As a horse develops from a two year to a three year old, you should increase the workout speed. It is a good sign of a horse that is developing. Sometimes trainers ease their training speed as the month of May approaches. This allows the horse to have fresh legs for the main Kentucky derby race. Those are some of the rules to follow when thinking of betting in advance for the Derby.